Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 12.214939 13.721929 15.355709 17.260703 19.423700 21.806475 24.634593
2025-03-23 10.023878 12.040156 14.388405 17.333908 20.941948 25.232863 30.745508
2025-03-30 8.230853 10.483528 13.277879 17.018366 21.923741 28.177908 36.820024
2025-04-06 6.747322 9.056600 12.088125 16.392615 22.401569 30.571756 42.657198
2025-04-13 5.668978 7.980484 11.175925 15.966371 23.053180 33.287476 49.434608
2025-04-20 5.022195 7.393125 10.834257 16.266118 24.760857 37.763466 59.610067
2025-04-27 4.517971 6.932157 10.598470 16.672643 26.683894 42.881289 71.793059
2025-05-04 4.043882 6.444442 10.244954 16.829681 28.226496 47.650795 84.368382
2025-05-11 3.549372 5.852497 9.638242 16.469549 28.833987 50.942081 95.018549
2025-05-18 3.147179 5.356614 9.117935 16.169458 29.483713 54.401040 106.682080
2025-05-25 2.814238 4.934116 8.663559 15.911774 30.157407 58.003946 119.373901
2025-06-01 2.547292 4.593248 8.306724 15.776406 31.033467 62.137477 134.043613
2025-06-08 2.309860 4.283078 7.977776 15.670494 32.005076 66.756590 151.118671
2025-06-15 2.170926 4.141214 7.949205 16.162723 34.314096 74.674263 177.778025
2025-06-22 1.995671 3.906385 7.707583 16.176320 35.594225 80.576255 201.098357
2025-06-29 1.803473 3.613884 7.311660 15.797828 35.926504 84.355855 220.007036
2025-07-06 1.645688 3.372957 6.991742 15.538738 36.492125 88.811324 241.916351
2025-07-13 1.559878 3.273694 6.961618 15.940525 38.738200 97.962838 279.629170
2025-07-20 1.487270 3.194082 6.964035 16.420037 41.272710 108.419656 324.290491
2025-07-27 1.401966 3.075932 6.864135 16.633820 43.156593 117.517957 367.489114
2025-08-03 1.290473 2.885244 6.572531 16.319761 43.557717 122.500947 398.775363
2025-08-10 1.193073 2.716591 6.313171 16.051794 44.044922 127.861663 433.082122
2025-08-17 1.107030 2.565549 6.078789 15.816662 44.589971 133.538261 470.398363